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Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates four times.Īn earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.įor the last reported quarter, it was expected that Nvidia would post earnings of $0.82 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.92, delivering a surprise of +12.20%.
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While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Nvidia will beat the consensus EPS estimate.ĭoes Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue?
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On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -0.05%. How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Nvidia?įor Nvidia, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.Ī positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Check how wide the bid vs ask spread is.Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. If you check the open interest (OI), you can see how liquid it is. There's a buy side and sell side to every trade. I group them into theta, delta or mix strategies and bull, bear or neutral positions. There are many types of options trading strategies and positions, simple to sophisticated & hybrids. *options use 100x leverage you could lose everything* Pi RSI - trend momentum TTC - trend channel Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation +5% portfolio trades, capital risk managementįOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. From a risk : reward analysis, NVDA is a good long entry from here.ĭo your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. NVDA has completed its death cross on 5/12. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.2 per share on revenue of $8.12 billion for the quarter ending April 30, 2022. The company said it expects first quarter revenue of $7.93 billion to $8.26 billion, with non-GAAP gross margins of 66.5 to 67.5%, which calculates to non-GAAP earnings of $1.22 to $1.36 per share.
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Revenue grew 52.8% on a year-over-year basis. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.22 per share on revenue of $7.4 billion. Nvidia ( NVDA ) reported Q4January 2022 earnings of $1.35 per share on revenue of $7.6 billion. NVDA Q1 April 2022 earnings are on 5/25 at 4:20pm.
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